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  • 100% Bonus Depreciation Is Now Permanent. Here’s Who Gets to Use It Before December 31.

    100% Bonus Depreciation Is Now Permanent. Here’s Who Gets to Use It Before December 31.

    Graphic reading 100%: bonus depreciation, now permanent for property acquired after January 19, 2025, with the note that it offsets passive income and, for real estate professionals, active income too, citing IRS Notice 2026-11 and IRS Publication 925, over a stylized city skyline at dusk.

    Anyone with passive income can put the deduction to work against it. Real estate professionals can put it to work against almost everything else. With 93 days left in the tax year, here’s how.

    FL Real Estate Insider — Week of September 29, 2026
    By Luis Noronha

    100% bonus depreciation is back, and this time it has no end date. Section 70301 of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act gave taxpayers “a permanent 100 percent additional first year depreciation deduction” for qualified property acquired and placed in service after January 19, 2025. That’s the IRS’s own wording, in the interim guidance it issued this year. (IRS — Notice 2026-11)

    No phasedown. No sunset.

    In my view, for real estate investors this is one of the most useful provisions in the tax code — and it reaches more of your income than its reputation suggests. So the question for this issue is simple: have you planned to use it this year?

    What actually changed

    Under the 2017 tax law, bonus depreciation was phasing down 20 points a year. OBBBA replaced that phasedown with a permanent 100% for property acquired after January 19, 2025 — “acquired” meaning the written binding contract was signed after that date. (IRS — Notice 2026-11)

    It applies to property with a recovery period of 20 years or less. (26 U.S.C. § 168(k)(2)(A)) The apartment building itself is depreciated over 27.5 years, and land isn’t depreciable at all. (IRS — Publication 527) The opportunity is in everything inside and around the building that wears out faster: Publication 527 lists appliances, carpets and furniture at 5 years, and roads, shrubbery and fences at 15. (IRS — Publication 527)

    A cost segregation study is how those components get identified — and once they are, bonus depreciation writes them off in year one instead of over decades.

    Two details widen the opportunity:

    • Used property qualifies, not just new. Used property can qualify as long as the buyer hadn’t used it before and the purchase meets the related-party and other acquisition rules. (26 U.S.C. § 168(k)(2)(A)(ii), (E)(i)) The short-lived components of a 1980s apartment building qualify just as they would in a new one.

    • Leverage multiplies the deduction. Depreciation runs on basis, and basis includes what you borrowed. The IRS’s own example: buy a building for $20,000 cash, assume an $80,000 mortgage, and “your basis is $100,000.” (IRS — Publication 551) The deduction is computed on the bank’s money too.

    Who benefits: anyone with passive income

    Rental real estate is a passive activity by default. (IRS — Publication 925) That sounds like a limitation. For a lot of investors, it’s the opportunity: a passive loss offsets passive income — and passive income includes more than rent.

    Here’s the part that widens it. Publication 925 says passive activity income “includes all income from passive activities and generally includes gain from disposition of an interest in a passive activity or property used in a passive activity.” (IRS — Publication 925)

    That covers:

    • Net rental income from buildings you already own.
    • Rental income passed through on K-1s from other real estate partnerships where you’re a limited partner.
    • The gain when you sell a rental property or a passive deal interest.

    That last one is the year-end play. If you’re selling a rental or exiting a passive investment in 2026, bonus depreciation from a new acquisition placed in service this year can offset the passive gain from that sale, as long as you also hold the new property as a passive investor.

    Gains on stocks and bonds are a different category — the IRS treats them as portfolio income — so the real estate gain is the one to pair with the deduction. (IRS — Publication 925)

    And the loss you can’t use this year isn’t lost. It carries forward to future years and is generally allowed in full in the year you dispose of your entire interest in a fully taxable sale to an unrelated party. (IRS — Publication 925) My read, and it’s opinion: for a limited partner, that makes bonus depreciation a deduction you bank now and spend against the passive income your real estate holdings produce later.

    Who benefits most: real estate professionals

    For people who qualify as real estate professionals, the same deduction can reach wages, business income and other nonpassive income, up to the limit below.

    A rental activity stops being passive when you “materially participated as a real estate professional.” (IRS — Publication 925) To qualify, more than half of your working hours must be in real property businesses where you materially participate, and those hours must exceed 750 a year — and you must also materially participate in the rental itself. Developers, builders, brokers and full-time operators are the most likely to clear it, though an employee’s hours count only if they own more than 5% of the employer. On a joint return, each spouse’s hours count separately for the test, but your spouse’s participation does count toward material participation in the rental. (IRS — Publication 925)

    Short-term rental operators have a second route. An activity where “the average period of customer use of the property is 7 days or less” isn’t treated as a rental activity at all, so the ordinary material-participation tests apply instead. (IRS — Publication 925)

    How much can it offset? For 2026, net business losses can offset up to $256,000 of other income — $512,000 on a joint return (IRS — Rev. Proc. 2025-32, § 4.31), with anything above that carrying forward.

    The Florida angle

    Florida “does not impose personal income tax.” (Florida Department of Revenue — Tax Information for New Residents) For a Florida resident, the federal return is the whole calculation — no separate state depreciation schedule to reconcile.

    Depreciation is also part of why the largest allocators are paying attention. U.S. family offices have doubled their real estate allocation to 20% over three years. “There is just not enough supply, especially in multifamily housing,” UBS’s Daniel Scansaroli told Modus, which added that depreciation and U.S. tax benefits have made the asset class even more attractive. (Modus — UBS 2026 Global Family Office Report) I wrote about that divergence in August and argued both reasons favor new construction. On supply, I still think so. On tax, my updated view is broader: bonus depreciation reaches the short-lived components of an existing building just as it does a new one.

    Plan the exit, too

    One thing to build into the model from day one. When you sell, gain on the personal-property components — appliances, carpets, furniture, which are § 1245 property — is taxed as ordinary income up to the depreciation taken (IRS — Publication 544), and depreciation on real property comes back largely as unrecaptured § 1250 gain at a maximum 25% rate. (IRS — Topic 409)

    Randall Weaver, a CPA at Trout CPA who has worked with real estate investors and developers for more than 20 years, frames it well: cost segregation “changes when depreciation deductions are claimed,” and it “can be useful from a cash flow perspective.” The question he poses is whether “the earlier deduction is worth more than the later tax cost.” (Trout CPA — Cost Segregation Is a Timing Strategy, Not a Tax Loophole, September 14, 2026) In my view, for an investor with the income to absorb it, it usually is — a dollar of tax deferred for years is capital working in the meantime.

    The December 31 checklist

    None of this is tax advice. Take it to your CPA before you act on any of it.

    1. Confirm the acquisition date. Acquired after January 19, 2025, under a binding contract signed after that date.
    2. Get it placed in service. Depreciation starts when property is “ready and available” for its use. (IRS — Publication 527) Closed but not rentable until January means a 2027 deduction.
    3. Commission a documented study. The IRS audit guide tells examiners to “view this approach with caution” when a study rests on industry averages rather than documentation. (IRS — Cost Segregation Audit Technique Guide, Publication 5653) Ask for a study built on documentation, not averages.
    4. Match the loss to your income. Passive gains or rental income this year? Real estate professional hours? Short-term rental? Know which bucket you’re in before you invest.
    5. Log your hours now. The IRS accepts “an appointment book, calendar, or narrative summary.” (IRS — Publication 925) Hours written down in October are far easier to defend than hours rebuilt in April.
    6. Model the exit. Recapture belongs in the return from day one.

    From the Developer’s Seat

    This section is my position as an operator. The sections above are the IRS’s.

    The homes and townhomes Lana builds to sell are inventory, not rental property, so they produce no depreciation — which is part of why we’re now exploring a second lane: existing apartment buildings of up to 100 units, buildings that are already rentals, where the opportunity is operational. I think about those deals through five levers that compound: monthly cash flow, depreciation, principal paid down by rent, appreciation from fixing what’s broken operationally, and leverage — none guaranteed, and leverage cuts both ways at today’s rates. Bonus depreciation is the lever that works from year one, and my rule is that it strengthens a deal that already works on its operations rather than rescuing one that doesn’t; “value-add” should mean better operations, not the fee-and-eviction playbook I wrote about in Wall Street Landlords. Which brings me back to the question I opened with: have you planned to use this benefit this year — and what passive income or gain on your 2026 return could it shelter?

    If you’re an accredited investor, how we think about underwriting deals like these — the levers, the assumptions and the downside cases — is laid out in the Lana Investor Memo.

    → Request access at coastal-living-collection.com (accredited investors only).

    Until next week,
    Luis

    Sources

  • Family Offices Are Cutting Real Estate Allocations. In the U.S., They Just Doubled Down.

    Family Offices Are Cutting Real Estate Allocations. In the U.S., They Just Doubled Down.

    UBS’s 2026 survey of 307 family offices shows the global real estate allocation falling from 11% to 8% this year. In the United States, it has doubled to 20% over three years — and UBS’s own head of portfolio strategy says the reason is undersupply and tax benefits. That is not a contradiction. It is a sorting mechanism, and it favors exactly the product this newsletter is written about.

    FL Real Estate Insider — August 4, 2026
    By Luis Noronha

    Bar chart comparing family-office real estate allocation: 8% global average versus 20% in the United States, a 1,200 basis-point gap

    UBS’s 2026 Global Family Office Report has a global headline that sounds like bad news for real estate: family offices are planning to cut real estate to 8% of portfolios this year, continuing a slide from 14% in 2019 to 11% in 2025. (UBS — Global Family Office Report 2026, Modus — Allocation Alterations, Dollar Fears and Fewer Direct Investments)

    One paragraph further, the story flips. In the United States, the average family-office real estate allocation has doubled over the past three years to 20% — and UBS expects it to stay there. (Modus)

    That is not a rounding error. That is a twelve-hundred-basis-point gap — 20% versus 8% — between what the average global family office is doing with real estate and what the average U.S. family office is doing with it, inside the same survey, in the same report. This week I want to walk through what UBS actually found, what the deal-level data says about who is still buying, and — marked clearly as my view — what the divergence means for the kind of capital and the kind of product this newsletter covers.


    What UBS actually surveyed

    The Global Family Office Report is UBS’s own research, not a third-party poll. This year’s edition drew on 307 family offices across more than 30 markets, with an average family net worth of $2.7 billion and an average $1.3 billion in assets under management per office, surveyed online between January 22 and March 30, 2026. Only 12% of respondents were based in the U.S.; the largest blocs were Europe excluding Switzerland (30%) and Asia Pacific (23%). (UBS)

    The headline finding is that a record share of family offices — 60%, the highest in the survey’s history, against roughly a third or less in most years this decade — plan to change their strategic asset allocation in the next 12 months. Geopolitical conflict topped the list of concerns cited, at 64% over the next year and 61% over five years, ahead of a debt crisis, a financial-market crisis, and a global recession. (UBS)

    That 60% figure is a global average, though: only 21% of U.S.-based family offices in the survey plan to change their allocation this year, a fraction of the global share. (Modus) The rest of the world is repositioning. U.S. family offices, on the whole, are holding.


    The real estate number, and the one nobody is quoting next to it

    Inside that broader allocation story, real estate is one of the assets losing share globally. Max Kunkel, UBS’s chief investment officer for global family and institutional wealth, put it plainly: “real estate is one of the areas where clients are scaling back,” explaining that “the lower allocation is partly explained by recent relative performance and the near-term outlook, which has favoured other asset classes” — while adding that “the allocation to real estate remains sizeable.” (IFC Review, republishing Spear’s — Family Offices: Sharp Rise in Family Office Plans to Shift Strategic Allocations)

    That is the quote most coverage stopped at. Daniel Scansaroli, UBS’s head of portfolio strategy and multi-asset solutions for the Americas, gave the number the global framing skips: U.S. family-office real estate allocation has doubled over three years to 20%, and he named two specific reasons. First, supply: “There is just not enough supply, especially in multifamily housing.” Second, tax treatment: “That, coupled with depreciation and the tax benefits in the U.S., has made the asset class even more attractive.” (Modus)

    Those two reasons together are a fairly precise description of the argument this newsletter has been making since June: undersupplied, well-built product, held for its depreciation profile, is exactly what a disciplined U.S. real estate allocation should concentrate in right now — which is the same case I laid out for ground-up new construction generally and, more specifically, for the cash-heavy, rate-insensitive buyer at the top of the Florida market. UBS is not describing Florida specifically here — this is a national U.S. figure — but the mechanism it names is the one Florida’s own supply data has been showing for months.


    The deal-level data confirms it is not paper allocation

    A portfolio-allocation survey can be soft — intentions, not transactions. FINTRX, which tracks family-office deal activity directly, published a first-half count that lines up with the UBS finding.

    FINTRX tracked 55 direct real estate transactions by family offices in the first half of 2026, across eight property types and six countries, involving 39 unique family offices. (FINTRX — Family Office Real Estate Investment Activity: 1H 2026) Two details in that count matter more than the topline.

    First, this was overwhelmingly a single-family-office activity: 31 of the 39 participating offices were single-family offices, versus 8 multi-family offices, and 50 of the 55 deals — 91% — closed inside the United States. (FINTRX) FINTRX’s own read is that “direct real estate ownership in 1H 2026 was overwhelmingly a single-family activity,” with single-family offices structurally advantaged by fewer stakeholders to align and faster decision cycles — often with a founder who built the family’s wealth in real estate or an adjacent industry to begin with. (FINTRX)

    Second, multi-family residential led every other property type, at 14 of the 55 deals, ahead of retail (13) and office (11). (FINTRX) That is the same asset class Scansaroli named as the specific supply gap driving the U.S. allocation higher — not a coincidence so much as the same shortage showing up twice, once in a survey answer and once in closed transactions.

    A handful of single-family offices are doing this repeatedly rather than opportunistically. Real Capital Solutions, the office behind Chairman Marcel Arsenault — who has personally acquired and managed more than 365 real estate investments totaling roughly $3.5 billion over his career — closed seven transactions in the period, all office properties. BruttenGlobal closed four, spanning retail and multi-family. (FINTRX) FINTRX’s advice to sponsors raising capital is itself the tell: prioritize direct outreach to family principals over broad institutional channels, because the offices transacting repeatedly are running real estate as a deliberate, programmatic strategy, not a one-off allocation. (FINTRX)


    Why this is a Florida story even though the UBS number is not

    To be direct: UBS’s 20% and FINTRX’s 55 deals are national counts, not Florida ones. But the family-office capital doing the concentrating has been arriving in Florida in a way that is not in dispute. Ken Griffin’s move of Citadel and Citadel Securities from Chicago to Miami is the clearest single marker: the firm bought the 1201 Brickell Bay Drive site for a record $363 million in 2022, tapped Related Companies to co-develop a Foster + Partners-designed headquarters tower, and site work is now underway ahead of vertical construction, with Griffin having completed his Chicago real-estate exit in late 2025. (The Real Deal — Ken Griffin Taps Related Cos. to Co-Develop Citadel’s $1B-Plus Miami HQ) Altss, which tracks family-office formation through Florida Division of Corporations filings and property records, describes Miami as the fastest-growing family-office metro in the Western Hemisphere over the past three years, with New York, California, Chicago, and Latin American principals relocating or opening secondary offices. (Altss — Family Offices in Miami)

    That inflow is the same buyer pool I described in the Florida Luxury Buyer issue two months ago: wealthier on arrival, less leveraged, and increasingly likely to hold and deploy capital through a family office rather than write a single personal check. My inference, not UBS’s finding: if that capital’s institutional home base is structurally overweight U.S. real estate for the reasons Scansaroli named, the Florida allocation from this cohort is more likely to keep compounding than to fade with the broader migration-cooling headlines.


    From the Developer’s Seat

    What follows is my opinion, not the UBS survey and not FINTRX’s transaction data — I want to mark that clearly.

    The headline read on this report is “family offices are pulling back from real estate,” and for the global average, that is a fair summary. But a shrinking global pool of family-office real estate capital, combined with a U.S. allocation moving in the opposite direction for supply and tax reasons, is not bad news for the lane Lana operates in. It is a filter.

    Less capital chasing real estate broadly means the sponsors who can prove they belong in the 20%-and-holding U.S. cohort — not the 8%-and-falling global one — capture a larger share of what is committed, not a smaller one. FINTRX’s own data backs that up: the family offices actually closing deals are disproportionately the disciplined, repeat, single-family-office buyers, not diversified institutional allocators spreading a check across a fund. That is precisely the buyer this newsletter and the standard I’ve argued a family office should hold any sponsor to are built around: an investor doing real, direct diligence on a specific developer and a specific pipeline, not renting broad real estate beta.

    The two reasons Scansaroli gave for the U.S. overweight — insufficient supply and favorable depreciation treatment on newly placed assets — both point toward the same conclusion I have made in this newsletter before: they favor ground-up, code-current new construction specifically, not real estate as an undifferentiated category. A family office moving capital into that 20% U.S. allocation gets the most out of both of Scansaroli’s reasons when the asset is new.

    So here’s the question I’d put to any family office reading this: is your 20% real estate allocation sitting in assets that actually capture the supply gap and the depreciation benefit Scansaroli is describing, or in a diversified basket that happens to be labeled “real estate”? Those are not the same allocation, even at the same percentage.

    If you are deciding how to deploy into that 20%, I would rather show you the underwriting behind a live Florida pipeline than argue the macro case further. That is exactly the conversation the Lana Investor Memo is built for.

    → Request access at coastal-living-collection.com (accredited investors only).

    Until next week, Luis

    P.S. — Accredited investor? The Lana Investor Memo and the live pipeline behind this week’s thesis live here: coastal-living-collection.com.


    Sources